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Decennial Census and American Community Survey
Thurston County Data
OVERVIEW
THURSTON COUNTY DECENNIAL CENSUS RESULTS Population Age characteristics Race and Hispanic Origin Housing Data Median and Per Capita Income Poverty Status
THURSTON COUNTY AMERICAN COMMUNITY SURVEY RESULTS Thurston County Single-year Data, 2008 Multi-Year Data, 2006-2008
THURSTON COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT DATA Census 2000 Thurston County Population by School District Census 2000 Thurston County School District Population by Age & Gender Estimate of School-Age Poverty Population, 1995
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OVERVIEW
Since 1790 the U.S. Census Bureau has conducted a national population count, with the most recent available decennial census being Census 2000. The next is in 2010. The population censuses provide detailed information about the number of people in the country and where they live. This information is used extensively by both the public and private sector in making informed decisions affecting many areas of American life.
Every household in the country is asked certain basic demographic and housing questions. This data is commonly referred to as the "100%" data and was released in 2001 for the 2000 Census. The equivalent data for the 2010 Census will be released in 2011.
In previous decennial censuses, a sample of these households was asked additional more detailed questions. One in six households nationwide received this "long-form" questionnaire. Beginning in 2005, the Census Bureau has asked similar questions from a sample of households, but with two significant changes: 1) the questions are asked all year around, every year; and 2) the sample size is much smaller, about one household in forty to fifty each year.
The advantage of the new American Community Survey (ACS) is that detailed information about the population (such as education, poverty, migration, commute patterns, income, etc.) is now available every year, instead of just every ten years.
The disadvantage is that the sample size is very small, so the margin of error is large. Because the sample size is small, small areas need more than one year worth of data to get statistically valid information. Thus only areas of 65,000 people and above have single-year data (e.g., 2008 for Thurston County). For areas of 20,000 and above, the data from three-year periods is gathered together (e.g., 2006-2008 for Olympia and Lacey). For smaller cities, and down to the neighborhood level, the data from five-year periods is gathered together (e.g., 2005-2009 for Yelm, census tracts, census block groups).
The following are some data highlights for Thurston County from both the 2000 Decennial Census and American Community Survey questionnaires.
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THURSTON COUNTY DECENNIAL CENSUS RESULTS
Population
Over the 1990s Thurston County continued to experience significant population growth. With a total county population of 207,355, there were 46,117 more people residing in the County in the year 2000 than in 1990. The county's average annual growth rate for the 1990s (2.5%) slowed only slightly as compared to the 1980s (2.6%).
A larger proportion of the county's population lives within city limits (45%) than did so in 1990 (41.6%). However, much of this change is the result of annexation, that is, of changing city boundaries. Within the cities, growth has not been evenly distributed over the 1990s. Lacey added the most new residents over the decade, increasing by 11,947 people. Yelm by far had the largest population growth rate, growing by 146%. Significant annexation has occurred in both of these communities.
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Age characteristics
Overall the county's population is getting older. Census figures show that in 2000, the median age of the county's population was 36.5 years, up from 33.6 years in 1990. However, there are some interesting distinctions in the age characteristics between the cities within Thurston county. For example, Yelm has the youngest population. Its median age of 30.8 years is significantly lower than the county's median age, while its proportion of children (32%) is significantly higher than the county average (25%).
Olympia has the most children of any city in the county, however, overall children also make up the smallest proportion (21%) of the city's population. Olympia has the highest proportion of those aged 18-64 years (65%), typically considered the working age population. Tenino, on the other hand, has the smallest proportion of those aged 18-64 years (56%) and the largest proportion of those aged 65 years and older (14.3%). The other small cities in the county, Bucoda and Rainier, have the smallest proportion of those aged 65 years and older (8.4% and 8.6% respectively).
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Race and Hispanic Origin
The 2000 Census was the first time that respondents were given the option of selecting one or more race categories to indicate their racial identities. Because of this, the Census 2000 data on race are not directly comparable with data from the 1990 Census or earlier Censuses, and caution must be exercised when interpreting changes in racial composition.
Nevertheless it is clear that Thurston County is more racially diverse in 2000 than in 1990, reflecting both national and state trends. Of those reporting a single race, 86% were White. The Asian population, at 4%, comprised the second largest group. Those who identified themselves as two or more races made up 4% of respondents. Race and Hispanic origin are considered two separate and distinct concepts by the federal government. Demographic trends in the Hispanic population, up from 3% in 1990 to 5% in 2000, also contribute to an increasingly rich social fabric within Thurston County.
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Housing Data
Housing units in the county have grown at a slightly faster rate (30%) over the decade than population (28.6%). Part of the reason for this is a declining household size, which fell from 2.55 persons per household in 1990 to 2.5 in 2000. Declining household size has important implications for both the type of housing which the population will need in the future, and the amount of land which will be needed for future population growth.
As with population, a larger proportion of the county's housing units are located within city limits (48%) in the year 2000 than in 1990 (45%). Also reflecting population trends, Lacey added the most new units and Yelm had the highest rate of growth in housing units. However, these cities had quite different trends in household size. Yelm saw the sharpest decline in household size (down 7%) of any city in the county, while Lacey actually saw a minor increase (1%) in household size.
Single-family houses continue to make up the bulk of residential housing units in the county, with 12,482 new single family homes added to the county between 1990 and 2000. Census data shows that multifamily units made up 23% of the county's housing stock in 2000, up from 20% in 1990. On the other hand, manufactured homes showed a decline in their share of all housing units in the county, dropping from 16% in 1990 to 13% in 2000.
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Median and Per Capita Income
Census 2000 data shows that Thurston County's median household income for 1999 was $46,975. This is approximately $1,200 above the statewide average and is a change from the 1990 census when the county's median household income was slightly lower than the statewide average.
Lacey has the highest median household income of any city in the county. Tumwater, however, has the highest median family income and per capita income while Olympia ranks second on those measures.
In the past, the south county cities and towns have had a substantially lower median income than the north county cities. However, the Census 2000 data shows that for median household income, Rainier ranks third among the county's cities. Of the smaller towns, Yelm has the highest median family income.
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Poverty Status
The proportion of the county's population living below poverty level has declined since 1990. Census 2000 data shows that 8.8% of the county's population falls below the poverty line, compared to 10% in 1990.
Historically the heaviest rates of poverty have been concentrated in the small south county towns. However the Census 2000 data shows that Rainier, Tenino and Yelm have seen a major decline in their poverty rates.
Census 2000 data shows that poverty rates are significantly higher for families with a female householder with no husband present, especially those with children. At the county level 29% of these families are below the poverty line. That number increases to 45% if the children are under five years of age.
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THURSTON COUNTY AMERICAN COMMUNITY SURVEY RESULTS
Annual data is available for Thurston County for the years since 2005. Because of the small sample size, this data is best used to examine population characteristics, rather than population totals – for example, poverty rate rather than number of people in poverty.
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Thurston County Single-year Data, 2008
Demographic data from ACS shows that Thurston County is continuing to become older and more racially and ethnically diverse. In 2000, the median age was 36.5 years, while in 2008 it was 37.5 years. In 2000, the population was 86% white, while in 2008 it was 84% white. Likewise, from 2000 to 2008 our proportion of Hispanics rose from 4.5 percent to 6.1 percent.
Household size has stabilized. In 2000, the average household size was 2.50, while in 2008 it was 2.49, with a margin of error of +/- 0.04. The share of single-family detached housing has grown substantially, from 63.5% in 2000, to 66.3% in 2008, with a margin of error of +/- 2.3%. This reflects the single-family housing construction boom of the mid-decade. Multifamily housing largely maintained its share, with 23.9% in 2008 versus 23.7% in 2008, with a margin of error of +/- 2.3%. Mobile homes have dropped in share from 13.1% in 2000, to 10.7% in 2008, with a margin of error of +/- 1.5%. The homeownership rate has not changed significantly; 66.5% of households owned their home in 2000, compared with 67.5% in 2008, well within the +/- 2.6% margin of error.
Income and poverty data from the American Community Survey are not comparable to that of the Decennial Census. This is thought to be because the Decennial Census asked the question in April about income during the previous calendar year, right after households had filed their taxes. ACS asks the question throughout the year, about income during the previous 12 months. Apparently many respondents just make their best guess, since ACS income data tends to be several percent lower than Decennial Census data.
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Multi-Year Data, 2006-2008
The population threshold for the three-year period datasets is 20,000 people, so only the cities of Lacey and Olympia are reported in this dataset. However, this data is also available for the population living within the largest school districts: North Thurston, Olympia, Tumwater, and Yelm School Districts, covering 89% of the County’s total population. Three-year period data should not be compared with one-year period data, only with other three-year data. The three-year period data is also available for Thurston County, so it is appropriate to compare these smaller areas with the county as a whole.
Demographic data shows that although the difference in median age between Lacey and Olympia is statistically insignificant (34.9 versus 35.1 respectively), there are important differences. Lacey has a higher proportion of children under 18 than Olympia (22.3% versus 19.6% respectively), reflecting the many families with children. Lacey also has a higher proportion of persons age 62 and over (18.0% versus 15.4% respectively), reflecting the presence of several retirement communities. The Tumwater and Yelm School Districts also have statistically significantly higher proportions of children under 18 than do the Olympia and North Thurston School Districts.
The North Thurston School District is the most racially and ethnically diverse part of the county, compared with the other school districts. The cities of Lacey and Olympia show differences in racial and ethnic diversity, but due to their smaller populations, the differences are not statistically significant.
Household sizes in Lacey (2.37 persons, +/- 0.07) and Olympia (2.28 persons, +/- 0.08) are significantly smaller than Thurston County as a whole (2.48 persons, +/- 0.02), but given the small sample size and large margin of error, the difference between them is not statistically significant. The Yelm School District has significantly larger households than the other three districts, each of which includes a large segment of urban population.
Similarly, Lacey and Olympia both have a higher proportion of multifamily housing (32.4% and 36.9% respectively) than Thurston County as a whole (20.0%), but the difference between them is not statistically significant, based on this sample data (total housing counts from Assessor records confirm that Olympia has a higher proportion of multifamily).
While income data from the ACS cannot be compared with that from the earlier Decennial Census, it is comparable within the ACS. Once again, median household incomes in Lacey ($55,740, +/-$4,277) versus Olympia ($50,843, +/-$3,325) are not statistically different from one another; however, Olympia’s median income is significantly lower than the county-wide figure ($60,174, +/-$1,581), while Lacey’s is not. Similarly, median income in the Yelm School District ($54,058, +/-$4,647) is below the county-wide figure, but those of the other school districts are not significantly different.
The poverty rate for all people in Olympia (15.6%, +/-2.5%) is significantly higher than the county-wide rate (10.1%, +/-1.1%), and significantly higher than the rate for Lacey (10.4%, +/-2.7%). The rate of poverty for all people in the North Thurston School District (8.0%, +/-1.6%) is significantly less than that for people in the Olympia (11.6%, +/-2.0%) and Tumwater School Districts (12.0%, +/-3.1%), but the difference with the Yelm School District (11.6%, +/-3.7%) is not statistically significant because of the wide margin of error.
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THURSTON COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT DATA
Census 2000 Thurston County Population by School District
The latest population statistics from the Census Bureau for the 2000 Census. Thurston County population is reported by school district boundaries.
Census 2000 Thurston County School District Population by Age & Gender
This is a detailed breakdown of age and gender characteristics by School District from the 2000 Census.
Estimate of School-Age Poverty Population, 1995
This is a dataset released by the Census Bureau. Similar data are available for all of Washington State's school districts.
For further information, contact Holly Gilbert or Pete Swensson, Thurston Regional Planning Council, (360) 956-7575 or email info@trpc.org.
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